The Hindenburg omen

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29.10.2007., ponedjeljak

Taman mi je izgledalo da bi se MACD za Nasdaq-a mogao prebaciti sa sell na buy (i to bi bio signal za ulaz za Sy Hardingov seasional timing ), kada sam naišao na slijedeći članak:

The Hindenburg omen is a relatively uncommon indicator, but it should not be easily dismissed. This indicator is named after the after the German airship and has become synonymous with the word 'crash'. This tool uses market breadth theories to determine when there is a disparity between new highs and lows. A large divergence in highs and lows suggests that conviction of market participants is weakening and that they are unsure of the market's future direction.

This indicator gives a warning when more than 2.2% of the traded issues in the NYSE composite index are creating new highs while a separate 2.2% are creating new lows. On Friday there were 259 new highs, which equates to 7.6% of the traded issues (3,407). Also, there were 99 new lows, which equates to 2.9% of the traded issues. Readings above 2.2%, which occurred on Thursday and Friday, is the first sign of a valid Hindenburg omen, but it should be noted that many short-term traders will wait for a few other confirming indicators before taking a position.

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