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Prenosim Cramerovo mišljenje: "This huge oversold market may have finally hit bottom," Jim Cramer said on his "Mad Money" TV show Tuesday. "Last Tuesday's rally was not the bottom of this market," he said, "but today's rally was." Cramer brought up a few reason why the market could be near a bottom. * Change in attitude from Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson * Mortgage bonds traded higher Tuesday * Great numbers from Goldman Sachs (GS) and Lehman Brothers (LEH) * Stocks like Nucor (NUE) and CSX (CSX) hit 52-week highs Tuesday * Momentum names like Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), First Solar (FSLR), Google (GOOG) and Apple(AAPL) are showing signs of life for the first time this year. Cramer reiterated a buy on Apple. * The VISA IPO priced at the high end of the range at $44. * The market rallied despite Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's disappointing rate cut. Možda ovo i je početak nekog jačer rally-ja, ali bih rekao da razina straha postignuta u ovom valu korekcije, nikako nije dostigla nivoe karakteristične za dno bear marketa, iako neki pokazatelji jesu (kao što je investors intelligence i AAII). No pitanje je kada nas opet čeka toliki pesimizam, možda je tjednima ili mjesecima udaljen. Možda će tada VIX skočiti i na nivoe više od 35. U svakom slučaju, ukidanje pravila da se može ući u dionicu jedino ako raste, sigurno pripomaže većim spikeovima VIX-a u budućnosti! PLUS TICK RULE |
Jučer je bio taj događaj i veliki reversal na DJIA, koji se oporavio sa -200 na skoro 100 pointa plusa, da bi dan završio na blagom plusu. Ostali indexi ga nisu pratili, a daleko je više bilo dionica koje su padale, nego rasle. Međutim, danas vidimo veliki rally potpomognut FED-om. FED čini očito sve da potpomogne tržišta, uključujući spas Bear Stearns-a, a po prvi puta u povijesti, posuđuje novac i brokerima. Da li ćemo dobiti kakav follow through ovoga rally-ja i koliko će trajati ne znam, još uvijek smo usred bear marketa, koji, naravno, ima svoje rallyje i povoljna razdoblja. Vidjet ćemo je li ovo početak jednog! Ostalo znate, ali for the record, tko ne prati situaciju: za BSC (Bear Stearns), petu investicijsku banku po veličini u USA, ponuđeno je samo nešto preko 250miliona dolara, tj. $2 po dionici, koja je jedom bila i preko $170, a još prošli četvrtak $60, a već u petak $30. |
Bear Stearns nose dives on rescue plan: Shares of embattled broker plunges by as much as 53 percent after JPMorgan and NY Fed announce announce plan to provide funding. NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Bear Stearns shares lost more than half their value at one point Friday after JPMorgan Chase and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York announced plans to provide short-term financing to the battered Wall Street firm. Bear Stearns (BSC, Fortune 500) shares plunged as much as 53% before moving off their lows trading nearly 33% lowern (sada opet blizu 50%) . In a statement, Bear Stearns CEO Alan Schwartz said that despite attempts to confront and dispel these rumors, the company's liquidity position had "significantly deteriorated" in the last 24 hours. |
The United States has entered a recession that could be "substantially more severe" than recent ones, former National Bureau of Economic Research President Martin Feldstein said Friday. "The situation is very bad, the situation is getting worse, and the risks are that it could get very bad," Feldstein said in a speech at the Futures Industry Association meeting in Boca Raton, Florida. NBER is a private sector group that is considered the arbiter of U.S. business cycles. Feldstein said the federal funds rate is headed for 2 percent from the current 3 percent. He added that lower short-term rates from the Federal Reserve would not have the same impact in the current downturn, in terms of reviving economic activity. "There isn't much traction in monetary policy these days, I'm afraid, because of a lack of liquidity in the credit markets," he said. The Fed's new credit facility, announced on Tuesday, "can help in a rather small way ... but the underlying risks will remain with the institutions that borrow from the Fed, and this does nothing to change their capital," Feldstein noted. Feldstein noted "powerful forces (that) will continue to drive inflation higher." And while inflation expectations are still relatively well contained, "you wonder how long that's going to last," he said. |