CONF SOUTH
Eastbourne – Hayes & Yeading OVER 3.5 (2.75 @Blue Square) 4 units
I'm impressed – Hayes were amazing this Saturday, 4:1 win away at high-flying, big spenders Eastleigh is a magnificent result ('...Eastleigh's performance was as miserable as the weather...''). I wrote a lot about Hayes a couple of days ago, so it's all there really – this Saturday's result showed us that it really is a fact, Hayes can score a lot of goals (even without their best scorer Scott who wasn't even on the bench – well, I've always been saying that Palmer is just as good), but their defence can concede a lot too (this time Eastleigh obviously had a terrible day, but managed to score one in the injury time). Eastbourne have been much more consistent this season than Eastleigh and I expect Hayes to score a bit less goals and concede a bit more goals this time (the weather should be a lot better too). Eastbourne were great this Saturday at struggling, but motivated Sutton, won 5:1, but this bet looks even better if we take a look at Eastbourne's recent results at home. 2008 started with their 0:2 defeat to Lewes who were league leaders at the time (Eastbourne are now league leaders – they have one point more, but they played one match less), but after that Eastbourne managed to beat Dorchester (4:1), Basingstoke (6:0), Bognor Regis (3:0), St Albans (4:0), Eastleigh (3:2), then they had an off day against Cambridge (0:1, but the wind was blowing hard and sometimes nothing helps obviously), but after that they bounced back once more and trashed promotions candidates Fisher 4:0 last Saturday. Atkin and Ramsay are scoring regularly again, they even have a 'goal scoring defender' in Ballard and Hayes defence should concede plenty here. On the other hand, Eastbourne should condede at least one or two – Palmer, Scott, Knight and Ledgister (recent signing from Oxford, scored two goals in the last two matches, both as a sub) should take care of that. I suppose 3:1 or 4:2 is a result that we should see here based on the statistics, but I'd be just as happy with 4:0, 0:4, 2:2 or 5:5. Massive value once again...
(2.69 at Stanleybet for OVER 3.5, 1.76 at Pinnacle for OVER 2.75...)
FT 3:1
Post je objavljen 18.03.2008. u 23:01 sati.