18.3.2008. +7 units
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CONF SOUTH Eastbourne Hayes & Yeading OVER 3.5 (2.75 @Blue Square) 4 units I'm impressed Hayes were amazing this Saturday, 4:1 win away at high-flying, big spenders Eastleigh is a magnificent result ('...Eastleigh's performance was as miserable as the weather...''). I wrote a lot about Hayes a couple of days ago, so it's all there really this Saturday's result showed us that it really is a fact, Hayes can score a lot of goals (even without their best scorer Scott who wasn't even on the bench well, I've always been saying that Palmer is just as good), but their defence can concede a lot too (this time Eastleigh obviously had a terrible day, but managed to score one in the injury time). Eastbourne have been much more consistent this season than Eastleigh and I expect Hayes to score a bit less goals and concede a bit more goals this time (the weather should be a lot better too). Eastbourne were great this Saturday at struggling, but motivated Sutton, won 5:1, but this bet looks even better if we take a look at Eastbourne's recent results at home. 2008 started with their 0:2 defeat to Lewes who were league leaders at the time (Eastbourne are now league leaders they have one point more, but they played one match less), but after that Eastbourne managed to beat Dorchester (4:1), Basingstoke (6:0), Bognor Regis (3:0), St Albans (4:0), Eastleigh (3:2), then they had an off day against Cambridge (0:1, but the wind was blowing hard and sometimes nothing helps obviously), but after that they bounced back once more and trashed promotions candidates Fisher 4:0 last Saturday. Atkin and Ramsay are scoring regularly again, they even have a 'goal scoring defender' in Ballard and Hayes defence should concede plenty here. On the other hand, Eastbourne should condede at least one or two Palmer, Scott, Knight and Ledgister (recent signing from Oxford, scored two goals in the last two matches, both as a sub) should take care of that. I suppose 3:1 or 4:2 is a result that we should see here based on the statistics, but I'd be just as happy with 4:0, 0:4, 2:2 or 5:5. Massive value once again... (2.69 at Stanleybet for OVER 3.5, 1.76 at Pinnacle for OVER 2.75...) FT 3:1 |
