srijeda, 16.01.2008.

michigan primary

michigan primary


(see also: obama michigan, obama michigan primary, michigan primary, )


On December 20th, Dick Morris wrote that michigan primary was going to be the make-or-break state in this election process and that Michigan would be the state to determine the two candidates left standing for super-tuesday.

Heres part of his commentary from just before Christmas:

The Jan. 15 Michigan primary is now looking like the big â€Selimination round” in the â€Ü08 GOP contest - the contest that could bring us down to the final two contenders.

In the semi-finals, to be held in Iowa and New Hampshire, Mitt Romney will face Mike Huckabee to see who’s tops among the party’s right, while Rudy Giuliani battles John McCain for the more moderate slot.

Huckabee and Romney are likely headed for a split decision, with the former winning Iowa (where he now leads 34 percent to 23 percent) michigan primary the later winning New Hampshire (where he now leads, 32-11).

On the centrist court, Rudy has a slender lead over McCain michigan primary Iowa (10-6). But the Des Moines Register endorsement the Arizona senator could pare Giuliani’s slim support base. In New Hampshire, McCain holds a tight 19-17 lead over Giuliani as they battle for second place.

Fred Thompson and the other wannabes will likely drop out after Iowa or New Hampshire (except, of course, michigan primary crazy Ron Paul, who will never give up the ghost). Then, it will all come down to the third state to vote - the Michigan primary, a week after New Hampshire.

Huckabee will enter Michigan seeking to recapture the momentum he’ll have gained after Iowa and michigan primary in New Hampshire. He’ll be facing a rap that he could only win in a small farm state like his own after he campaigned there nonstop for months, almost never going home. If he loses Michigan, he’ll be gone.

Romney will try to prove that his New Hampshire victory wasn’t simply a favorite-son triumph. With two-thirds of New Hampshire watching Boston TV, the win there by the former Massachusetts governor in the first primary will be suspect. The ghost of Paul Tsongas, the Bay State senator who won New Hampshire in 1992, then faded, may haunt Romney’s campaign. He’ll will labor under the rap that he can’t win road games. (read the rest of this article HERE).

I hope that Mr. Morris will do a re-write regarding Michigan since Gov. Romney did not win either or New Hampshire. I do think that Michigan is going to be very, very important in this process for the republicans.



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