On May 29, the investment work conference held in hunan province, according to the governor of hunan province XuShouCheng revealed out remarks show, hunan province will make shanghai house some real estate regulation fine-tuning, mainly including: introduced preferential policy, reduce interest rates (first suites), breaks down proportion relevant taxes and other measures to promote the rigid demand, leads the market form a unified expectations.
Hunan is not alone. The worry is that the local government to fine-tune, will let developers gradually lose price cut power, to look even price increases.
The price of fine-tuning built?
In may, property clinch a deal around sharply.
For example Beijing, according to the Beijing real estate transaction management nets data show that by the end of May 29,, Beijing commodity room house signing a cycle of 35699 units, has more than 35052 set last may in the volume of sales, has set up a file in the limit to buy monthly high. Beijing central plains 3 class market research director at ZhangDaWei note that, in the above the project clinch a deal, is more than 150 sets of signing with 44 project. Among them, the rise in the price of the project of 40%. 4-in May, most of the project are narrow the discount rate, house prices drop again the space is not large.
21 real estate senior analyst SuRi also noticed that, although "steady growth" is may have proposed, but from secondhand the room prices index to see, Beijing has started a recovery from the last month, and the Shanghai and shenzhen remain stable. From the deal look, 3, 4, and 5 basic is rising in the month after month, the growth in May is amazing.
In march, the personage inside course of SuRi puts forward, be alert to clinch a deal the reason even after growth house prices rise, unfortunately, the worry is more and more become the reality may. Price of tongzhou district typical huaye Oriental rose during May Day this year launched the A8 building no. 1 unit that buy a house, can obtain a discount of 9.4, but then launch 2 unit availability of discounts to pick up the 9.6 fold, and 3 units have not yet launched favourable activity; Beijing has worked in pixels in hong launched at the end of last year for 10800 yuan/square metre, all price is 11600 yuan/square price floor price regional agent, but in the first half of this year, they the launch of new toward good smooth layer is a storied building, price mention to 13000 yuan/square metre-14000 yuan/square metre. Beijing pixels in hong LongKun marketing director, said "the developers have no price cut power."
House property market research analysts chain ChenXue said the current market also is in demand is released, the rising cost of gradually increasing expected sensitive time, can continue to maintain control results exist hidden trouble. "So far there have been more than 30 cities had minor, new housing yangzhou was allowed, property market regulation looseness of space increases, the future is likely to enter local fine-tune the intensive period", is many individual local government to "protect the just need to" as is "help city" opportunity.
House prices is hard to rebound sharply
Sina in xiamen limit to buy moving house property speculation relax, xiamen citizens of a "micro survey, 47.1% net friend think, house prices will rise, because limit to buy very weak; 38.2% of netizens think, not necessarily, will have to see the next policy; Only 14.7% of netizens think, prices will fall.
Xiamen housingadministration bureau has public statement denied relax limit to buy, but to rising house prices expected worry is expanding. ChenXue points out, the person that buy a house for worry about the future prices rise and into city pants, easy to cause the house prices appear substantial rise. That is, worried about rising expectations rise is likely to become a reality.
Beijing tongzhou a salesman told reporters, about two days, more than he received from the customer's phone asking whether the new building will price increases. And he also worry that the company will continue to adhere to the discount sales promotion, if prices or cancel the discount activity, sales will increase the difficulty.
The reporter a long time didn't receive a phone message of yan jiao project, on May 29, the salesman of the project began again to a round of telephone marketing, says property market has seen bottom.
Foreign economics and trade university, an associate professor with the public administrative college LiChangAn predicted that, although house prices have not yet let go of the regulation for inhibitions, but house prices the bounce of the situation around is already taking shape. To anticipate, in the present situation, house prices could not restrain, the second half of house prices rebound sharply already is big probability events, and property prices control target will fail again.
But Beijing real estate association secretary-general ChenZhi think, "in the control target and control policy not change, to the house of the rebound is redundant worry about". He thinks, at present all the fine tuning of city measures have not touched limit to buy bottom line, if nothing touches executive, so, the original control target still won't change. However, in the background of the economic downturn, appropriate to fine-tune property market to stimulate just need to also should be understand.
Longhu real estate executive director QinLiHong think, the housing policy was not to be fundamental change, still need to go to the developers inventory, high turnover, cautious investment as the theme of 2012. From volume, it is now the best on the market, from the expected to see, house prices do not exist rebound sharply foundation.
State league group and international deputy general manager five shin mh says, the housing should be in the "steady growth" between regulation and looking for a state of balance, the way is to stimulate just need to. In relatively free from market to market relative close regulation change, the government should not make house prices appear again in 2009 boom similar.
SuRi expected, don't rule out a few places in a certain housing in shanghai flexibility in space continued to fine-tune, but inside this year may not be comprehensive control policy easing, and therefore, the central also never allow house prices rebound sharply in the situation.
Post je objavljen 31.05.2012. u 15:28 sati.