UNIBOND PREMIER
Marine Witton 2 (1.90 @Sportingbet) 5 units
Marine are currently 7th in the Unibond Premier, but they don't much chance for a play-off spot. 5th Buxton have six points more, but they played two matches less than Marine. They're not unbeatable at home (ten wins, seven defeats) and I'm sure their quality pitch will put a smile on Witton's players' faces after playing deep in the mud at Guiseley last Saturday. Marine didn't have a match last Saturday and two weeks ago they managed to win, but their opponents were only 22nd, bottom of the table Lincoln (it was 3:1 for Marine). Before that match (Cumiskey and Farley scored two out of three goals), Marine had three defeats in a row, haven't scored a single goal in those three matches. Like I said, they're really not unbeatable at home 2nd Fleetwood beat them 1:0 in March, 6th Guiseley beat them 2:0 in February, even 13th Frickley managed to beat them 3:2 in January. 5th Buxton beat them in December so it turns out that out of all teams above them on the league table, at home they only managed to beat Eastwood in January. After this match they still have a home match against Gateshead to play and I'll probably be there to bet against them again especially if they're going to miss half of the squad like they do know. Yep, Marine will be without no less than five suspended players their best scorer Cumiskey (22 goals in this season), standard defenders Farley and Potter (Marine's player of the month for February), and midfielders Woolcott and Hussey. And that's not all captain & standard defender Connelly is definitely out injured, another defender Brazier is very doubtful (50-50 chances) and their second best striker O'Donnell should return, but if he does, he probably won't be 100% fit. Marine's budget is significantly smaller than those of Witton and Fleetwood for instance '...The problem is made worse by the fact that the budget doesnt allow us to bring any players in on loan...''. These odds would be fair if Marine were complete with at least half of the squad missing, these odds have hyper-value.
Witton have been the league leaders and the biggest candidates for the title since the start of the season. Their statistics are amazing, 23-7-3, 71:21, 9-6-3 away from home. They only shared points at Guiseley last Saturday, but you should see the match highlights, all that mud they tried to play on before questioning this bet. In fact, Witton dominated throughout the match and Guiseley scored an equaliser deep into injury time bit of bad luck for Witton. It was similar at Prescot a couple of weeks ago, when Witton lost 0:1 (''...The poor state of Prescot's pitch left the Witton boss lost for words after seeing his side slip to only their third reverse of the campaign..."It was a joke, fit only for Sunday league", he said...''). Marine, on the other hand, have the best pitch in the league, 'sand-based' and all, and with all those players missing for Marine, Witton should win this match comfortably. Before the draw at Guiseley, Witton won 2:0 at Gateshead their pitch was in much better shape and Witton had no problem showing that they have the best team in the league. Individual quality of the players should once again prove to be crucial. The race is not over though, Fleetwood have 11 points less, but they played 3 matches less, and that fact can only help us with this bet. Witton have to keep winning if they want a spot in Conference North this season. I can't see Marine winning this with all those players out, suspended and injured. It really would be the shock result of the day... Witton brought in another quality striker recently, Rapley from Barrow, they have no suspension problems, no injuries and it was 3:1 for Witton at their place earlier this season...
(1.95 at Stanleybet, 1.90 also at Coral, 1.85 at Bwin and Bet-at-home, 1.83 at StanJames, Bet365, BetDirect, Better...)
FT 0:2
Post je objavljen 21.03.2008. u 18:30 sati.