RYMAN PREMIER
Billericay – Folkestone 1 (1.91 @Coral) 5 units
This match was scheduled for January 12th, but got postponed due to waterlogged pitch – I placed 8 units on a home win then, but this time it's going to be only 5 units for me – no suspensions and no injury worries for Folkestone, midweek match, lots of rain today in England, Folkestone brought in a decent striker in the meantime...). There are a couple interesting matches tomorrow, but the weather is awful (we could see a couple of postponed matches) and midweek matches still often go crazy. I decided to stick with this traditionally very good home team, because my odds on a home win would never be bigger than 1.70.
Billericay had a shocking season, but after the new management team took over, their football finally started to improve and show some results. They were even in the relegation zone for some time a couple of months ago, but after their shocking home defeat to Hornchurch back in December, Billericay started to play some nice football, a couple of new players arrived and with this win, Billericay could be in the play-off zone once again. That should be good enough motivation. After a great run, Billericay started to drop points again lately, but their home matches with Harrow and Ashford (both very nice surprises and play-off candidates), both draws, were played under terrible conditions and Billericay were without a couple of important players who are now back in the team. After this Saturday's 0:1 defeat at 5th Margate (who Billericay could jump over if they manage to beat Folkestone), fans and players know this match is crucial. Billericay are currently 10th, but like I said, they could be 5th after this match, as they have only three points less than 5th Margate who don't have a midweek match this time and have a lousier goal-difference. Billericay have 8-4-4 this season at home, but those defeats happened a long time ago, before the new management team took over. In the last seven home matches, Billericay have four wins and three draws (play-off candidates Harrow and Ashford and title candidates Wimbledon). Billericay haven't scored a goal in the last three matches, but they were missing a couple of important forwards – this time, they should score more than once. Striker Burbridge will be back for this match (he didn't play on Saturday), midfielder Heffer's suspension is served, centre back Blewitt took a knock, but should be okay and captain Dormer is determined to continue playing with his ligament damage – that's why fans think all the best about him.
Folkestone are currently 16th, but they played more matches than teams in the relegation zone – I think they'll be alright and avoid relegation. Folkestone were great away from home at the beginning of the season, but then had a terrible away run, lost nine away matches in a row. They did manage to share points away at Ashford in January, but then lost both away matches in February. This Saturday, they finally grabbed all three points away from home, but only at direct rivals, 19th Carshalton who are one of the worst home teams in the league – it was their first away win since October when they managed to beat poor Leyton who are already relegated. Folkestone now finally have a player who can score, at least from time to time, but I suppose Billericay know all about Blackman – if they keep an eye on him, they will do more than half of the job. Folkestone's experienced midfielder Saunders left the club a couple of days ago – that's good to know – and another midfielder Sly could be out injured after all. Folkestone's fans still think they will lose this match with a handicap and, really, who am I to disagree... Last time when these two teams played a match (at Folkestone, in the FA Cup last qualifying round), the result was 2:0 for the guests from Billericay. I expect a similar result this time too – forget about the current positions on the league table, this is Billericay, a great home team that is dying to get back on track, against modest Folkestone who are always about trying to stay in the league...
(1.83 at StanJames, BetDirect and Better, 1.80 at Stanleybet, Gamebookers, Bet365, Digibet, Paddy Power, PartyBets, Primebet...)
FT 4:1
Post je objavljen 11.03.2008. u 23:04 sati.