Hinckley – Kettering 2 (1.80 @Blue Square) 7/10
Hinckley is currently 20th on the Conference North league table with three defeats and five draws. At home they have 0-2-2 but the main reason I'm taking this bet is Hinckley's current roster. First they lost their key pre-season signing, striker Murphy, just before the season started, another striker Kelly is out suspended (he's serving a ten-match ban), midfielders Cartwright and Jackson and defender Penny are all out injured, and midfielder Lenton is still not 100% fit. Striker Stevenson (their best scorer this season with two goals) and midfielder Nurse left the club a couple of days ago. At home they were defeated by 10th Worcester (2:4) and 13th Solihull Moors (0:1), and managed to draw against 19th Blyth (1:1) and 5th Telford (1:1, that was arguably the worst Telford match this season). Yesterday (Saturday) they played away at bottom of the table Hucknall who didn't have a single point before the match and, surprise surprise, Hucknall was a better team in that match and Hinckley's midfielder Storer was sent off. The match ended 1:1.
This is what Hinckley's supporters are writing about their team:
''...Hard to take anything positive out of today’s game. A point’s not too bad, but the performance was below dire. Hucknall won't have an easier game all season. Sorry to say but the team’s playing without a clue... ''
Kettering are on top of the table with 7 wins and an away draw. Their only draw happened yesterday when they played 1:1 at Workington (currently 6th, one of the promotion candidates). But Workington is, of course, a much better team than Hinckley. Kettering won at 8th Stalybridge (1:0), 10th Worcester (3:2) and 21st Leigh RMI (4:1). They score a lot of goals, they brought in a bunch of experienced players in pre-season and shouldn't have much problem this time.
1.80 are great odds for away win but it's Monday and that's the reason this is just a 7/10 bet for me. If it was Saturday, I'd probably risk 8 units and if Kettering were playing at home, this would probably be my first 9/10 bet of the season. If you're afraid of losing 7 units (I'm not), be sure to have a 3/10 bet on the draw (between 3.50 and 3.75 on the internet). In that case, draw will get you 1.25 units more than you staked, but if Kettering wins (and they should), you'll get only 2.6 units more than you staked (7+3). I'll only be staking 7 units on a Kettering away win.
FT 0:0
Post je objavljen 16.09.2007. u 22:09 sati.