Hyde – Burscough OVER 2.5 (1.50 @Stanleybet) 7/10
Hyde – Burscough OVER 3.5 (2.88 @Blue Square) 2/10
Hyde is currently 4th and this season they will be serious play-off candidates. They score and conceed a lot of goals (19:10 in seven matches, 11:5 in just three home matches this season) – maybe some of you remember their 2nd round home match against Vauxhall. They were losing 0:3 at half-time and managed to win 6:3 in the end. In their next home match, they lost against on/off Tamworth (1:2) but in their last home match they scored four times (4:0 against Redditch). In the last round, they were playing away at Gainsborough – the match ended 3:3. So, yes, these odds must be taken. Hyde has a bunch of great strikers in their team – they managed to keep their best striker Seddon who scored 25 goals last season and brough in Simm who scored 13 goals for Leigh RMI last season.
Newly promoted Burscough outfit (currently 7th) scores and concedes a lot of goals too (12:11 in seven matches, 8:7 in three away matches this season). They've conceded four and scored two in the 1st round already (2:4 at Tamworth) and won 3:2 in their next away match at Nuneaton. In their last away match at Solihull they won 3:1 and in the last round they were playing at home against Hucknall and won 2:1. At home, they don't score and concede as much as away (4:4 in four home matches) but away their matches are always full of excitement and – goals.
Two last matches between these sides were full of goals too – it was 6:1 for Hyde (at Hyde) and 4:0 for Burscough (at Burscough).
Hyde will be without Cowan and Burscough will be without midfielder Price (both due to suspension), but that shouldn't make a difference here – both teams are without these players a couple of weeks already. Blue Sqaure offers terrific odds on OVER 3.5 option and Croatian local bookie Stanleybet offers 1.50 for OVER 2.5 – Pinnacle is offering 2.02 for OVER 2.75. Anything above 1.40 for OVER 2.5 is a value bet and if you ask me, the best bet of this weekend (there are no matches in Ryman, Unibond and Southern Premier leagues this weekend because of the FA Cup and even a small profit on these couple of bets would be great but it's maybe wise to take a vacation from these leagues this weekend and save some money for the forthcoming rounds).
FT 1:0
Welling – Hayes & Yeading 1 (1.91 @Skybet) 4/10
Welling finished the last season on 8th place but almost the whole first squad was released this summer and a bunch of new players arrived (new striker Coleman scored three goals so far). Bad start of the season was kinda expected, but after two defeats, Welling finally gained some points in rounds 3 & 4 (a win and a draw) and then later on won at home against mighty Bath City.
Newly merged Hayes & Yeading brought us profit with their defeats twice this season already. They are currently bottom of the table with three draws (all at home against fellow relegation candidates) and four defeats (three times away, once at home against – ha! – Welling) in first seven rounds and they're the biggest relegation candidates this season. In this match, Hayes will be without two suspended strikers, Palmer and Knight (another striker Scott is out injured) and their left-back Hislop left the club couple of days ago too. They also have problems with goalkeepers – their no1 Davies is out injured and Preddie was recently on goal for them. Palmer and Hislop were both in the starting team for Hayes when they hosted Welling in the 3rd round. That was Welling's first win (and a very much needed away win after two defeats) of the season and after that Weeling picked up 4 points at home (out of six) and lost two away matches. They've lost at Lewes in the last round but Lewes are one of the biggest, maybe even the biggest title candidates this season. They were far better at home against Bath City who are also big play-off candidates (1:0 for Welling).
After scoring three times in first four matches and then nothing in the last three matches, Welling's striker Coleman needs a goal against Hayes (he scored a winner when Welling was playing away at Hayes) to regain some confidence. Welling will be without striker Ward who left the club due to work commitments, but he didn't score a single goal this season (this time Blackman who was playing as a winger recently could be Coleman's partner in the attack if Welling's manager doesn't bring in a new striker by Saturday – Welling's fans are not happy with that but that could maybe motivate mr. Blackman). At least they'll have a quality keeper on goal – Masters from Brentford joined them two weeks ago on a one-month loan and has been very good. Welling will probably end this season mid-table and this could be a narrow 1:0 win again, but in this moment Welling is far better than Hayes & Yeading (who will also be without a lot of players) and these kind of odds lured me once again. But, this is just a 4/10 bet, not a 8/10 bet – be careful with this one and don't except odds below 1.80. Under is maybe a good option too, but 2:1 or 3:1 home win is also a very possible result here so I'll stick with the home win for 4/10...
FT 1:2
Maidenhead – Havant & Waterloovile 2 (2.20 @Blue Square, Skybet) 3/10
Havant & Waterloovile are, I'm repeating myself, one of the biggest title candidates this season. They are currently 4th with 4 wins, 2 draws and just one defeat (away at Cambridge in the 3rd round). They have a great new keeper in Scriven who saved them in the last round (1:0 home win against title candidates Bromley) and a couple of great strikers so these odds are definately worth a go. Havant will be without Howells due to suspension, but he has yet to start a match for Havant this season, he got sent off as a sub at home against Thurrock, so he won't be missed.
Maidenhead are better away then at home this season – they are currently 18th with three home defeats (0-0-3 at home), one away defeat, two away draws and a single win – away win of course (at struggling Sutton). They will be without Clarke due to suspension and will have to play the match of the season already if they want to steal all three points from high-flying Havant & Waterloovile. Maidenhead also has some injury problems and Havant is the most dangerous team they will have to play against in this part of the season (so far their opponents were fairly beatable), after returning to the Conference South as the Southern Premier League play-off winners. Maidenhead was apparently terrible in their last home match against struggling Bognor Regis (Maidenhead lost 2:1). 2.20? Sure I'll take it.
This is what Maidenhead's manager said about their opponents in this match:
''... I’m honest they were my tip for the league at the start of the season. They have got a terrific squad and I know they are going to give us our toughest test of the season. They had a great side last year and have added players like James Slabber and Richard Pacquette so we are going to have to be on our toes...''
FT 3:3
Post je objavljen 13.09.2007. u 20:23 sati.