Havant & Waterlooville – Bedford Town 1 (1.45) 8/10
Statistika govori sama za sebe. Havant je dobio 70% domacinskih tekmi (7-2-1), Bedford je dobio 18% gostujucih (2-1-8). Havant je jedinu domacinsku tekmu izgubio u prvom kolu prvenstva, a Bedford je u zadnjih 6 tekmi skupio jedan bod.
Havant je u zadnjoj domacinskoj tekmi remizirao s Bognor Regisom koja je solidna momcad iz sredine tablice (9 bodova vise od Bedforda, a to je puno u ovako izjednacenoj ligi), no oni im ocito ne leze jer su u obje uzastopne medjusobne tekme podjelili bodove, kod Havanta zbog strasne upornosti gostiju (izjednacuju gol u 93. minuti), a kod Bognor Regisa zbog nevremena (bilo je 0:0, navodno uzasni uvjeti) i izostanka cetvorice prvotimaca. A i, sad mi je tek palo na pamet, prva tekma se igrala 26.12., a druga 1.1. je*iga, i igraci u 28. ligama su ljudi i ako im se nekad tolerira kiks, to je na Stefanje i na Novu Godinu. Sad im se kiks nece tolerirati, judine mi krvi.
Bedford Town je idealan protivnik za vracanje na pobjednicke staze, ne samo za Havant, nego i za puno losije momcadi u Juznoj konferenciji. Havant je momcad koja prima najmanje golova u ovoj ligi, a Bedford je jedna od momcadi koja najlakse prima golove. A ne ide im ni zabijanje golova – nisu zabili niti jedan u zadnje cetiri tekme i kad uzmemo u obzir i sutrasnju vremensku prognozu za taj dio Otoka (navodno ce kisa padati barem 6 sati), koef 2.50 na opciju da Bedford ne daje gol izgleda jako primamljivo. Za neki sistemcic, mozda.
Bedford je, to jos nisam spomenuo, predpredzadnja momcad Juzne konferencije (18 bodova, Havant ima 35), ali imaju jednu tekmu vise od predzadnje (15 bodova) i cak dvije tekme vise od zadnje momcadi (12 bodova).
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Lancaster – Nuneaton 2 (1.50) 9/10
Stari dobri Lancaster, svakih par dana pisem o njihovim problemima (stecaj, ostali samo lokalni klinci, blablabla, prosvrljajte malo po ahrivi ako vam se bas da...), vise mi se ne da. Lancaster doma ima 0-1-9, imaju 6 poraza zaredom (i to iskljucivo od losih i prosjecnih momcadi, od Barrowa koji je rezultatski i statisticki skoro pa identicna momcad ovoj Nuneatona su izgubili prvo 0:3 u gostima, a onda i 0:2 na svojoj livadi) i ne preostaje im nista drugo nego da pricekaju to ispadanje u cetiri razine losiju ligu i pokusaju tamo pobjediti neku domacinsku tekmu.
Nije Nuneaton neka sjajna momcad, ali puno su bolji od Lancastera. Imaju 14 bodova vise od njih, u gostima imaju omjer 2-4-5 (gol razlika u gostima 23:24, Lancaster doma ima 7:24, a u tu statistiku ulazi i razdoblje kada im jos nije otisla skoro pa cijela prva momcad), a u zadnjih 5 tekmi imaju 1 pobjedu, 2 remija i 2 poraza. Ova 2 poraza su im se dogodila u zadnja 2 kola, ali em su se te tekme igrale 30.12. i 1.1., em se radilo o 2. i 5. momcadi lige, a u oba slucaja je Nuneaton izgubio s jednim jedinim golom razlike.
Nuneaton voli davati golove i opcija da Nuneaton daje gol bi bila sjajna da koef nije 1.05. U zadnje 4 tekme dali su cak 7 golova. Lancaster je u zadnje 4 tekme dao 2 gola, a u zadnje dvije tekme (otkad su otisli u stecaj i otpustili sve igrace koji znaju dodati loptu i zabiti gol) nisu zabili niti jedan. Da sam ja Stenli, koef na pobjedu Nuneatona bi bio 1.05. Stanleybet ne misli tako, cak je i Gazda Duksy sumnjicav, ali ja mislim da Nuneaton ovo dobiva bez problema. Hendi je 2.28, mozda stvarno bacim neki sistem kako je krenulo...
Sto se navijackih foruma tice, fanovi Lancastera su odustali od komentiranja nogometa i koncentriraju se iskljucivo na pljuvanje po administratoru foruma, a fanovi Nuneatona pricaju o lopovskom sucu koji ih je zaje*o u proslom kolu (poraz 0:1 od drugoplasiranog Hinckleyja, navodno im nije sudio dva penala i ponistio regularni gol – ne zvuci lose protiv jedne od tri najbolje gostujuce momcadi Sjeverne konferencije), o prvoj godisnjici legendarne tekme protiv Middlesbrougha u FA Cupu te o privremenom treneru koji ce im, uvjeren sam, sutra dati malo razloga za slavlje. Nuneatonu ce faliti tri igraca, no dvojica se vracaju. Ako ne pobjede Lancastera, letjeti ce glave...
Wilkin, who took over the reins after the resignation of Roger Ashby, is eager to impress and although his record of one point from three games is far from eyecatching, those who witnessed the performances against Hinckley (twice) and Kettering will admit there was a significant improvement in the passion, desire and quality of the team.
"Lancaster are plainly having their problems but my concern is centred around Nuneaton Borough and getting results," stressed a determined Wilkin.
"We need a win and if we play as well as we have in the last three games and get the breaks as well as avoid individual errors, then we should be okay.
"Losing to an injury time goal against Hinckley on Monday, after dominating the game for long periods, was a real blow but that's how cruel football can be.
"A year ago we were all on high, playing Middlesbrough and coming close to causing one of the biggest surprises in FA Cup history.
"Tomorrow things are very different, but, no ifs or buts, this is one game we must win," added Wilkin, who will continue to persevere with Ollie Burgess in an attacking midfield role.
FT 0:4
Folkestone Invicta – Billericay Town X2 (1.35) 9/10
2.20 na cistu pobjedu Billericayja je dobra opcija za sistem (nista, morat cu odigrati taj sistem ocigledno), no za zicer listic je ovo najbolja varijanta. Folkestone je nakon Bozica zabiljezio dva poraza (od prvoplasiranog Margatea i od prosjecnog Tonbridgea), a Billericay je dvaput pobjedio (prvu su razbili East Thurrocka 4:0 u gostima, a onda su uzeli sva tri boda i protiv drugoplasiranog Chelmsforda i to nakon sto ih je napustio vazan napadac.
Folkestone Invicta je momcad koja se bori za ostanak u ligi (18. mjesto, doma imaju 4-1-7, gol razlika 15:26) dok je Billericay momcad koja se bori za naslov (6. mjesto, ali samo tri boda manje od drugoplasiranog Chelmsforda i sest bodova manje od prvoplasiranog Margatea, u gostima imaju 3-2-5). U zadnje tri gostujuce tekme imaju 2 uvjerljive pobjede protiv momcadi na nivou Folkestonea (East Thurrock je cak i znatno bolja momcad od Folkestona, a Billericay ih je rasturio 4:0), a izgubili su (16.12.) od solidnog Leytona. Dakle, nisu najbolja gostujuca momcad (premda im ide sve bolje), ali protiv klubova s dna ljestvice nikad ne iznevjere navijace.
Folkestone je u zadnjih 6 tekmi skupio samo bod, a Billericay je u zadnjih 8 tekmi pobjedio njih 6.
A evo sto kaze trener Folkestonea o problemu s ozljedama:
“Billericay is another tough game which will test us again as we will still have four or five players out.“
A evo sto kazu navijaci:
See that MEV is suspended this Saturday having picked up his fifth booking. Ratty is on four yellow's to !!. Luke only available mid January. Mark Saunder's presumably cant play as didnt even make the bench at Margate. Wonder will there will be an emergency loanee for this game ??. Simon Rainbow can play of course, but alonside Ben and Ratty it would make a pretty inexperienced starting three !!. Maybe the youngest ever midfield that we have fielded in a competitive match if that's what happen's ?
Billericayju se vraca nekoliko igraca, fale samo dvojica sto i nije tako lose s obzirom na recentno razdoblje.
FT 3:3
Weymouth – Burton Albion 2 (2.85) 7/10
Weymouth (trenutno 6. na tablici) je u zadnjih 5 domacinskih tekmi izgubio triput, Burton (trenutno 5. na tablici) pobjedio zadnje 4 gostujuce. Ali ovo je najbitnije:
Weymouth boss Garry Hill is unable to name any fit players after a virus hit the squad at the start of the week.
Weymouth had appealed to the FA to try to get the game postponed, however this appeal was turned down because 48 hours notice was not given.
Burton hope to sign Peterborough striker Lloyd Opara in time to play but are definitely without Chris Hall (knee) and Andy Ducros (knee).
Darren Stride and Danny Holmes are both fit and Terry Henshaw may also return.
WEYMOUTH are facing an injury crisis ahead of tomorrow's massive Nationwide Conference National clash against Burton Albion (3pm).
Ashley Vickers (hamstring) will definitely miss the game and there are fears that Roy O'Brien (head) and Simon Downer could also be sidelined.
With skipper Ben Smith suspended and a flu bug likely to cause more casualties the Terras did at one stage enquire with Conference officials about the possibility of calling the game off.
Vickers and O'Brien both suffered their injuries in the 3-2 loss at Forest Green Rovers on New Year's Day. The latter was rushed to hospital during the encounter at New Lawn after suffering concussion from an elbow to the head.
Terras' boss Garry Hill said: "We still don't know the full extent of Ashley's injury but he won't be fit for the weekend. Simon Downer is also unlikely to be fit and we will just have to see how Roy O'Brien goes." Downer has not featured for the Terras since the 2-1 FA Trophy loss against Grays Athletic on December 16. When asked about the former Leyton Orient player's problem, Hill said: "We are still trying to find out the full extent of the injury."
He then added: `At the moment we have got a few injuries and there is a bit of a bug going around but we have to get on with it.
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Post je objavljen 06.01.2007. u 04:41 sati.