4.3.2008. +8.42 units
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CONF SOUTH Thurrock Havant & Waterloovile 2 (2.63 @Bet365) 4 units & X (3.60 @StanJames) 2 units (ad-hoc draw-no-bet) Again I've decided to have an improvised draw-no-bet, this time we'll make +4.52 units if Havant win and +1.20 unit in case of a draw. Pinnacle are currently offering 1.84 for a DNB, but their odds will go down very fast. About the teams Thurrock have been great at home recently (six wins in a row), but all good runs must end and Havant are better than all the other teams Thurrock managed to beat at home in the last two months. Thurrock have 10-2-3 at home (they lost only to Lewes, Hampton and Maidenhead), but like I said, all runs must end and Havant seem very determined to grab the play-off spot. Thurrock are currently 14th, they're safe alright (20 points more than 20th St Albans), but they don't really have a chance for a play-off spot (10 points less than 5th Fisher). Havant are in a much better position and their motivation should prove crucial here. Thurrock are still missing standard, but not very disciplined central defender Swaine who is still serving his mega-suspension. Havant are really flying high at the moment they're currently 10th, but they played three matches less than 5th Fisher who have only 5 points more. Havant have five wins in the last six matches and their two recent away wins in five days showed that they really want a play-off spot. They're much better at home, but after beating 2nd Eastbourne 2:1, I'm sure they'll do their best to grab another 3 points this time on the road. Last season, it was 1:1 at Thurrock. Season before that, 2:0 for Havant, and this season, it was 3:0 for Havant at their place in September. All in all, Havant have a much better team, they have much, much better chances for a play-off spot and they just brought in another two very good players striker McCallum has joined from Weymouth, while right-back Watson has arrived from the Crawley. A draw could happen here, but I can't see Thurrock taking all the points... (Away win is 2.50 at Stanleybet and Blue Square, 2.44 at 10Bet, 2.40 at Bet-at-home, Betsafe, Bwin, Digibet, Sportingbet, Primebet... 3.60 for a draw available at StanJames, Stanleybet and Skybet... 1.84 for DRAW NO BET at Pinnacle currently...) FT 0:2 CONF NORTH Barrow Boston 1 (2.30 @Betway) 3 units I wrote a lot about Barrow recently, they've been doing great since the arrival of the new management team a couple of months ago, they have five wins and only one defeat in the last seven home matches and this Saturday's 2:1 away win at Leigh RMI was much easier than the score suggests. Their attacking winger Henney is on fire currently (scored two in the last two matches, but he also scored what could've been a winner against mighty leaders Kettering, before the match was abandoned). Barrow are currently 13th, but all the teams that are above them on the league table played from two to as much as four matches more. Yes, Barrow still have a chance for promotion, even their management team admitted they will fight for that play-off spot. Boston are currently 10th, but they played two matches more than Barrow and have only four points more. They're one of the worse away teams in the league (4-3-8) they have two defeats and a win at struggling Workington in the last three away matches. This Saturday, they lost 0:1 at home to Harrogate. What do the fans think? Well, they're not too optimistic ''too many injuries and nothing to play for''. Defender Ellender is suspended, striker Araba is again set to miss out through injury, joint top goalscorer Jon Froggatt is back in light training and maybe could play some part against Barrow but he's definitely not 100% fit, just like defender Crane and midfielder Nicholls who were on the bench on Saturday. What does Boston's manager think? ''Its a ridiculously long journey for midweek, but we will prepare properly and hopefully return with a good result''. It probably won't be an easy home win, but Barrow have much more chance here than the odds suggest. (2.25 at Stanleybet, Skybet and Primebet, 2.20 at StanJames, Sportingbet, Bet365, Paddy Power, Digibet... 1.94 for (-0.25) currently at Pinnacle...) FT 1:0 |
