8.1.2008. +4.2 units
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CONFERENCE SOUTH Bishop's Stortford Havant & Waterloovile 1 (2.05 @Sportingbet) 4 units Havant players were the biggest non-league heroes of the Saturday when they managed to equalised at League One high-flyers Swansea in the FA Cup 3rd round proper. 1:1 gives Havant a replay on their own pitch and if they somehow manage to beat Swansea, they'll be playing away at Luton or Liverpool (!), most probably Liverpool, in the 4th round so yes, their heads must be spinning right now. Of course their FA Cup run is the most important thing at Havant right now, but it's not the only reason for taking this bet. They're traditionally awful away from home they're currently 12th on the league table, but they're also the worst away team in the league with only one (1) win in nine (9) matches. They managed to win an away match in the league only once, in the 2nd round, back in August, at terrible hosts Dorchester. If we look at their away league matches in the last month, it's all very clear. They lost 2:4 at on/off Fisher, shared points (1:1) at struggling Bognor and, finally, ten days ago, lost 0:4 at league leaders Lewes. Bishop's Stortford aren't the best home team this season (4-3-4, goal difference 22:19), they had an on/off season so far, but they're still play-off candidates (currently 10th, only three points less than 5th Newport) and if they manage to win a couple of times in a row, they'll be up there, challenging for a place in the Conference National next season. Their last home match was a great 4:0 win vs Cambridge City and, after losing 1:2 away at Braintree on the New Year's Day, I'm sure they very much want to take another three points against FA Cup giant-killers. Their best scorer Pearson scored in every of the last four league matches (7 goals in 4 matches) and he's currently the second best scorer of the Conference South. He also scored a hat-trick in the FA trophy match against Canvey Island a couple of weeks ago. Last year, it was 1:0 for the hosts at Bishop's Stortford. 1.90 would be fair. 2.05 I will take. (2.06 currently at Betfair, 2.00 at StanJames, Gamebookers, Expekt, Coral, Blue Square, Bet-at-home, Paddy Power... (-0.25) is 1.85 at Pinnacle, 1.84 at 10Bet and 1.80 at Bet365...) FT 4:1 |
