4.9.2007.
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Fleetwood Marine 1 (1.80 @Stanleybet) 5/10 Fleetwood is one of three Unibond Premier outfits with a 100% record so far (other two are Guiseley and Gateshead) and one of the favourites to win the league this season. They won in all four matches started away at mid-table Ossett, then at home against big spenders and favorites Hednesford, away at Ashton and finally away at Frickley. Now they're home again and these odds look very good. Marine managed to win just once in their five league outings this season (started with a 1:2 defeat at home against a team that will struggle this season Worksop, then 1:3 away at promotion candidates Witton, 1:1 away at another struggling team of Frickley, 1:0 home win against mid-table Prescot Cables and a 0:1 defeat at home against mid-table Ossett). It's obvious now that Marine will fight for a mid-table position this season and in this match they will be without a standard midfielder Hussin due to suspension (they have some injury problems too). FT 2:3 Buxton Witton 2 (2.00 @Stanleybet, StanJames, Bwin, Gamebookers, Paddy Power) 4/10 New Unibond Premier guys Buxton started the season with picking up a point at mid-table Whitby in the first round, but then came two home defeats against Hednesford (0:2, I expect a similar result here btw) and Kendal (0:1). A week ago, Buxton managed to win for the first time this season and it was again away from home, at another mid-table outfit, Ossett Town. Witton should be too much for the new guys in the league. Buxton will be without their best scorer Reed due to suspension and midfielder Doxey recently left to Conference North outfit Alfreton. Buxton's goal difference is 2:4 (in four games). Witton is currently 2nd with four wins and just one defeat in five games (goal difference 11:2). Their manager brought in a couple of very good players and their newest signing, striker Rod Thornley who came from Conference National outfit Altricham, scored already in his debut (against Eastwood). Witton lost points in the 1st round only (0:1 away defeat at play-off candidates Lincoln) after that came four wins (3:1 at home against Marine, 4:0 at home against Stamford, 2:0 away at Kendal, 2:0 at home against Eastwood). It's a shame bookies didnt' make even a bigger mistake and put up for example 2.30 for the away win because in that case I would even concider a 6/10 bet. With this kind of odds, I think it's best to keep a low profile here 4/10 for me. FT 0:2 Leyton Horsham 2 (2.30 @Gamebookers) 4/10 Horsham comfortably sits on the 2nd place on the Ryman Premier table. It's a nice change they finished the last season mid-table (they were 8th, far enough from the play-off zone). Horsham already brought me some profit this season, two weeks ago when they won at home against Folkestone the odds were great for a home win then and they're pretty great again. Horsham is playing away this time, but 2.30 away at poor Leyton is just too much. Value indeed. Horsham's results so far are very nice too. 2:0 away win at Maidstone (I expect a similar result in this match), 1:0 home win against Folkestone, 3:2 home win against very tough Boreham Wood, 0:2 away defeat at strong Margate with basically no fit strikers in the team and finally, two days ago, 4:1 home win against not bad at all Carshalton outfit (they have one win and two draws in five games). Horsham is without two injured players, their talented scorer Farrell and midfielder Taylor, but scorer Rook is finaly fit (scored two goals against Carshalton) and their manager brought in another scorer couple of days ago, Austin from Maidstone so now Charman can come back in the midfield after playing upfront at Margate. Leyton finished the last season 15th and they face another struggle this season. They are on the bottom of the table with just one point (gained in the first round) and 4:12 goal difference. They've picked up a point against new guys Harlow but after that, Hendon away, Ramsgate away, East Thurrock at home and Billericay away all managed to beat them. This Saturday they brought us some profit too with their heavy defeat at Billericay (0:4). FT 4:3 Heybridge Billericay 2 (2.38 @StanJames) 2/10 These odds for a Billericay win (anything above 2.10 really) must be taken. Heybridge just lost their captain and midfielder Shinn to Conference South outfit Braintree and failed to win in any of the first five games of the new season. They have two defeats (away at Staines and at not very good Ashford outfit in the last round) and three draws (at home against Hendon, away at Harlow and at home against Hornchurch) but I think Billericay is momentarily a better team than Hendon and Hornchurch and 2.38 looks very nice for a small-stake bet. Billericay was great against teams that are, just like Heybridge, going to struggle this season (6:0 at home against new guys Hastings in the first round, 4:0 at home against Leyton in the last round) but also managed to snatch a 2:0 away win at promotin candidates Hornchurch. Billericay maybe lost talented winger Whelpdale during the summer, but they brought in Woods-Garness (and a couple more talented players), a great striker who scored a hat-trick against Leyton. The other Billericay striker Flack scored once in that match and is finally 100% fit. The absence of two injured players, midfielder Game and scorer Boot, won't make a difference, especially Boot's (Billericay's manager has four other strikers and this Flack + Wood-Garness combination works great). Billericay scored most goals (13) in five games and conceded the least (just one). All in all, Billericay should win here, even if their 1st goalkeeper doesn't make it (he got injured against Leyton) he thinks he will btw but even if their reserve keeper plays from the start and concedes a goal, Billericay strikers can easily score a couple of goals to get that very wanted three points. FT 2:2 |
