prognosis and picks

petak, 26.06.2009.

The Martingale Betting System

Most players in the casino are looking for a system to help them get the edge. Many of them stumble upon or hear about a surefire system that involves doubling their bets after each loss. They figure that sooner or later they have to win. This system that is called the Martingale system and it has been around for years. It has also been the ruin of many players. Here is how it works. You make a bet and if you lose you double your bet. If you lose again you double your bet. You keep doing this until you win and then go back to your original bet.
Let’s look at an example of the Martingale. For this example we will assume you are playing on a five-dollar table. First of all most casinos have a maximum bet. Many five-dollar tables have a maximum bet of $500. If you bet using the martingale where you double after every loss the progression would look like this:

You bet $5 and you lose.
Your next bet is $10. If you lose:
Your next bet is $20. If you lose:
Your next bet is $40. If you lose:
Your next bet is $80. If you lose:
Your next bet is $160. If you lose:
Your next bet is $320. If you lose:
Your next bet is $640, which exceeds the maximum bet for the table.


It would only take eight losses to exceed the table maximum bet. It doesn't matter how many times you double up your bet. You will up you will only win five dollars if you eventually hit. This takes into account all your progressions up to that point. Even if you could exceed the $500 maximum bet, on the eighth bet you are risking $640 to win $5. You have already invested $635 for your previous seven bets. If you lose that one you are out $1,275. Can you imagine risking over a thousand dollars for a chance to win five dollars? The casinos know that if someone had unlimited resources they would eventually win. That is why the set maximum bets at the table.

Some people who try the Martingale system have an initial success with it. They might win consistently for many sessions and swear the system is fool proof. Sooner or later reality will kick in and they will discover the flaw in the system. I know because years ago when I was naive about the casino world, I was one of those persons who tried the Martingale.

To use the Martingale system you have to place even money bets. One of the most popular bets for players using this system is to bet black or red on the roulette wheel. (This is also one of the best games for showing you the flaws in the Martingale system.) Shortly after I started playing table games, I read about the Martingale and decided to give it a try on my next visit to Atlantic City. I started with a bankroll of $200 and I won $145 on my first trip using the system. I won on three trips after that building a bankroll of $500. This was too easy. I wondered how the casinos could stay in business if everyone used this system?

On my next trip I took my bankroll to the table and placed my $5 on red. I lost and started the progression. I placed my next bet and lost again and again and again. I lost six bets in a row. When I lost the bet for $160 I was down $315 and only had $185 left of my five hundred dollars. I did not have enough money to bet the $320, which was the next step in the progression. I was nervous and down hearted. I couldn't believe this could happen to me. I was all ready to throw down my remaining money when I came to my senses and decided to take break.

I thought about what I had just done and realized that this system was not fool proof. Anything can happen in a casino including losing several bets in a row. That was many years ago and I am wiser to the realities of the games. There are still many players however that are just hearing about the Martingale system and are convinced that they can't lose with it. Here is an easy way to see for yourself.

If you believe that you can't lose seven bets in a row take a walk through the casino and look at the display board that is connected to most roulette wheels showing you the twenty previous spins. How many times do you see one color come up more than seven times in a row? I once saw black appear 17 times in a row! If you started with a five dollar bet and used the Martingale system, your 17th bet would be $327,680.

No betting system will change the overall casino edge and the Martingale system can be disastrous when things go bad. Please don't be one who is fooled by this system.

26.06.2009. u 17:12 • 0 KomentaraPrint#

NBA BETTING SYSTEM


HERE’S THE NBA BETTING SYSTEM IN DETAIL. AS LONG AS YOU STRICTLY FOLLOW
MY BETTING GUIDELINES BELOW , YOU WILL BE WINNING ALMOST ALL OF YOUR
NBA BETS!
IN A NUTSHELL, YOU WILL BE BETTING THAT ONE TEAM IS GOING TO WIN AT
LEAST ONE GAME IN AN ON-THE-ROAD SERIES VERSUS AN OPPOSING TEAM THAT
IS IN A DIFFERENT CONFERENCE. THIS IS A BET THAT YOU WILL WIN MORE THAN
97% OF THE TIME.
I HAVE ALSO FOUND THAT ONLY TWO SPORTSBOOKS WORK FOR THIS BETTING
METHOD AND THE LINKS TO SIGN UP WITH THEM ARE BELOW. I WON’T GET INTO
THE DETAILS WHY I HAVE FOUND ONLY THESE 2 SPORTSBOOKS TO WORK BUT
THERE ARE MANY SPORTSBOOKS THIS BETTING SYSTEM WILL NOT WORK WITH
SO PLEASE USE THESE LINKS BELOW TO SIGN UP FOR AN ACCOUNT WITH A
SPORTSBOOK THAT WILL WORK. CLICKING ON ONE OF THESE LINKS WILL
REDIRECT YOU TO THE MOST CURRENT SIGNUP PAGE FOR THAT SPORTSBOOK AND
THEIR LATEST DEPOSIT BONUS OFFERS AS WELL.
SPORTSBOOK 1: BET365
SPORTSBOOK 2: BETUS
BEFORE I GO INTO DETAIL ON HOW TO MAKE THE BETS, I WILL GO OVER THE
MONEY MANAGEMENT SYSTEM. THERE ARE ONLY THREE BET VALUES YOU
SHOULD STICK TO: BET A, BET B, BET C.
BET A = YOUR BEGINNING BET. YOU CAN, FOR EXAMPLE, SET YOUR BEGINNING
BET TO WIN $100 (OR WHATEVER YOUR BUDGET WILL ALLOW) WHEN YOU FIRST
START OUT.
BET B = IN CASE BET A FAILS, YOU MAKE BET B TO MAKE UP FOR ANY LOSS
YOU’VE SUFFERED FROM BET A, PLUS ANY PROFIT YOU WOULD HAVE ACHIEVED
FROM BET A. SO, IF YOUR BET A WAS FOR $170 (TO WIN $100 AT -170 ODDS), YOUR
BET B WILL BE TO WIN THE $170 YOU LOST ON BET A PLUS ANOTHER $100 TO MAKE
A PROFIT. THEREFORE YOUR BET AMOUNT WOULD NEED TO BE AS SUCH TO WIN
$270 ($170 + $100).
BET C = IN CASE BET B FAILS, YOU MAKE BET C TO MAKE UP FOR ANY LOSS
YOU’VE SUFFERED FROM BET A + BET B + PROFIT YOU WOULD HAVE ACHIEVED
FROM THE ORIGINAL BET, BET A. SO, IF YOUR BET A + BET B LOSSES ARE $500,
YOUR BET C NEEDS TO BE TO WIN $500 (PREVIOUSLY LOST) PLUS $100 PROFIT.
THEREFORE YOU WOULD NEED TO PLACE BET C SUCH AS TO WIN $600.
THERE IS NO BET D,E, F OR ANYTHING THEREAFTER. IF YOU LOSE BET C, YOU LOSE
THE BET. HOWEVER, DO NOT BE CONCERNED BECAUSE LOSING A BET C IS
SOMETHING THAT WILL ALMOST NEVER HAPPEN. I’LL TALK MORE ABOUT THAT
LATER. HERE’S THE BETTING SYSTEM:
1. CHECK THE NBA SCHEDULE AND MARK DOWN ANY SERIES WHERE ONE
TEAM WILL BE PLAYING AT LEAST 3 CONSECUTIVE GAMES ON THE ROAD
VERSUS A TEAM IN A DIFFERENT CONFERENCE.
2. FOR THE TEAM THAT WILL BE PLAYING 3 OR MORE CONSECUTIVE GAMES ON
THE ROAD AGAINST A DIFFERENT CONFERENCE, MAKE A BET A FOR THE
TEAM ON THE ROAD ON IT’S FIRST GAME AND BUY 3 POINTS ON THE BET.
3. IF YOU LOSE BET A, MAKE BET B ON THE NEXT GAME FOR THE SAME TEAM
4. IF YOU LOSE BET B, MAKE BET C ON THE NEXT GAME FOR THE SAME TEAM
GO TO NBA.COM TO CHECK SCHEDULES AND SEE WHAT CONFERENCE EACH TEAM
IS IN. THE TEAMS THAT HAVE 3 CONSECUTIVE AWAY GAMES IN A ROW VERSUS
TEAMS OF THE OPPOSITE CONFERENCE ARE THE ONES YOU WILL BET ON.
ONE OTHER THING OF NOTE IS THAT IF A TEAM IS PLAYING 6 GAMES IN A ROW ON
THE ROAD ALL VERSUS OPPONENTS OF THE OPPOSITE CONFERENCE, YOU CAN
SPLIT THAT UP INTO 2 DIFFERENT BETTING SERIES, ONE BEGINNING WITH THE 1ST
GAME AND ONE BEGINNING WITH THE 4TH GAME.
IF YOU ARE UNFAMILIAR WITH BETTING AND BUYING POINTS. PLEASE SEE THE
EXAMPLE BELOW.
CLICK ON BUY POINTS/PICK PITCHERS
ON THE NEXT PAGE YOU’LL SEE THIS.
FROM HERE JUST CLICK ON NBA
ON THE NEXT PAGE IS WHERE YOU SELECT YOUR TEAM. FOR EXAMPLE, LET’S SAY
YOU WANT TO BUY 3 POINTS FOR THE HOUSTON ROCKETS IN THEIR GAME VERSUS
THE DALLAS MAVERICKS YOU WOULD NEED TO DO AS FOLLOWS.
JUST CLICK IN THAT CIRCLE AND ON THE NEXT PAGE IS WHERE YOU BUY POINTS
AND SET YOUR WAGER AMOUNT. JUST FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS IN THE
SCREENSHOT BELOW.
IF YOU DO NOT UNDERSTAND BUYING POINTS , LET ME EXPLAIN. EACH GAME YOU
WAGER ON WILL HAVE A POINT SPREAD. FOR EXAMPLE, IN THE HOUSTON vs
DALLAS GAME THAT YOU SEE ON THE SCREENSHOT ABOVE, THE SPREAD IS +5 FOR
HOUSTON AND -5 FOR DALLAS. IF YOU BET ON HOUSTON +5 IT MEANS THAT IF
HOUSTON LOSE THE GAME TO DALLAS BY 4 POINTS OR LESS YOU STILL WIN THE
BET IF YOU CHOOSE HOUSTON +5. IF YOU BET ON DALLAS -5 IT MEANS THAT
DALLAS MUST WIN BY 6 POINTS OR MORE FOR YOU TO WIN THE BET IF YOU BET ON
DALLAS -5. NOW, IF YOU BUY 3 POINTS FOR HOUSTON THAT WOULD BRING THE
SPREAD TO +8 INSTEAD OF +5. THIS MEANS THAT NOW YOU CAN STILL WIN THE BET
IF HOUSTON LOSES BY 7 POINTS OR LESS. SIMILARLY, IF YOU BUY 3 POINTS FOR
DALLAS TO -2 IT MEANS THAT NOW DALLAS CAN WIN BY ONLY 3 POINTS AND YOU
WIN THE BET. IF ANY BET FALLS ON THE EXACT SPREAD NUMBER SUCH AS
HOUSTON LOSING TO DALLAS BY 8 AND YOU HAD HOUSTON +8 THE BET IS A PUSH
AND IS REFUNDED.
ONE FINAL IMPORTANT NOTE ON THIS BETTING SERIES IS THAT YOU STOP THE
SERIES AFTER A WIN. FOR EXAMPLE, IF YOU LOSE BET A AND GO ON TO WIN BET B
YOU THEN STOP THAT SERIES OF BETS (A,B,C) AND WAIT FOR THE NEXT SERIES TO
COME ALONG.
YOU MUST ALSO BE WONDERING ABOUT WIN PERCENTAGES FOR THIS SYSTEM. IN
AN ENTIRE NBA SEASON, IF YOU FOLLOW THE GUIDELINES, YOUR CHANCES OF
LOSING A BET B ARE AROUND 14% AND LOSING A BET C IS CLOSE TO 1% !!
A FINAL NOTE IS TO BE SURE YOU HAVE ENOUGH MONEY IN YOUR BETTING
ACCOUNT TO COVER ALL THE WAY THROUGH BET C SHOULD IT OCCUR AND
ADJUST YOUR STARTING BET ACCORDINGLY AS TO BE ABLE TO DO THIS.
ENJOY! AND DON’T FORGET TO USE ONE OF THE FOLLOWING SPORTSBOOKS TO BE
SURE YOU CAN FULLY IMPLEMENT THIS SYTEM.
SPORTSBOOK 1: BET365
SPORTSBOOK 2: BETUS
THANKS AND ENJOY!!

26.06.2009. u 15:57 • 0 KomentaraPrint#

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